No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Polymarket Trader
Lora719
0x7358feb531bbad0458d11b3a66ba26aef64072e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.83
- Realized PnL
- $17.43
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.49
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Crin Antonescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 45°F or below on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Starmer out before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 84.4% 113 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 84.5% 113 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.4% 90 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.4% 8 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.6% 193 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.3% 97 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.6% 39 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 4.2% 180 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 4% 180 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 1.5% 32 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 1.2% 193 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 1.2% 193 shares