No position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $61
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Polymarket Trader
WagglyGazpacho
0x736088fe4b7ff8ba297047558ff38354feacee6f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $137.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $61
- User PnL
- -$4.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$1.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.7
Yes position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.28
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?No 6.9% 24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?No 91.9% 75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 9?Yes 5.1% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?No 95.3% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.5% 60 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?No 3.2% 37 shares
- Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?No 91.9% 8 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Yes 6.5% 33 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?Yes 95.5% 14 shares
- Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No 94.2% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 15?Yes 7.1% 61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 93.1% 34 shares