0x736e2fa5160cc46528288f6f5B7729B0CD31a144-1775488411524

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $6.81
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$4.19

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $82.45
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $981.38
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$17.55

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $360.52
Potential profit: $359.26
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$18.74

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $193
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.08
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $126.7
Potential profit: $125.56
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$14.86

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $116.48
Potential profit: $112.4
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $115.27
Potential profit: $114.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $109.92
Potential profit: $108.88
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$5.96

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $7.47
Potential payout: $106.67
Potential profit: $99.2
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$8.53

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $96.58
Potential payout: $105.55
Potential profit: $8.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $62.58

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $22.12
Potential payout: $94.12
Potential profit: $72
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $6.12

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $72.92
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$4.58

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $27.05
Potential payout: $81.97
Potential profit: $54.92
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $17.05

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $10.36
Potential payout: $71.94
Potential profit: $61.58
Multiplier: 6.94x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.94
Potential payout: $71.53
Potential profit: $62.59
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$18.06

Yes position

Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $64.16
Potential profit: $64.06
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $22.77
Potential payout: $51.18
Potential profit: $28.4
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $7.77

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $44.57
Potential profit: $41
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$20.43

Yes position

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $37.97
Potential profit: $37.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $37.17
Potential profit: $36.95
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$9.78

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $36.59
Potential profit: $30.73
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$9.15

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $25.93
Potential payout: $31.43
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $14.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.12

Yes position

English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.21

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.96

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.85

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.42

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.07

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.73

Yes position

Michael Olise: 2+ assists

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.15

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.27

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.57

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.67

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16

Yes position

Will Nuno Mendes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.77

Yes position

Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 92.6%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $10.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Over position

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26

Over position

Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.04

No position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?