Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $963.47
- Potential profit
- $963.47
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
tefloniusmonk
0x736ef642f943128f18617c0f4832cc548587682c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $243.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.22
- Potential profit
- $433.22
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405.52
- Potential profit
- $405.52
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $397.47
- Potential profit
- $397.47
- User PnL
- -$4.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $389.62
- Potential profit
- $389.62
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.98
- Potential profit
- $299.98
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.3
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "Expert" or "Genius" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 11?Yes 10.6% 9.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on July 10?Yes 3.2% 31.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 10?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 10?No 57.6% 1.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?No 45% 2.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 11?No 66% 1.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on July 11?Yes 3.6% 27.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?No 50% 2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 10?No 65% 1.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on July 7?Yes 0.5% 963.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 8?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?Yes 35% 2.86 shares