Polymarket Trader

Capibara

0x737f872d24f11eba71cc261749791016161c1b97

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.96
Realized PnL: -$82.47
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$141.02

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $974.22
Potential profit: $973.73
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$51.67

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $42.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $457.25
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: -$57.25

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$18

Shelton position

ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 5.4% 742 shares
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 5.3% 21.22 shares
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 5.2% 211 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 10.4% 500 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.5% 100 shares
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 18.5% 150 shares
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 11.5% 6 shares
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez

Shelton 48% 100 shares
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 20% 300 shares
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 15% 121.49 shares
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 5.1% 533 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 14% 300 shares