No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $162.55K
- Potential payout
- $179.61K
- Potential profit
- $17.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $15.77K
Polymarket Trader
EricaXBT
0x73836f35d84a6080ebe035195be41ba114d4bd0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $167.63K
- Realized PnL
- $13.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $545.83
- Potential payout
- $83.97K
- Potential profit
- $83.43K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$182.64
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $932.79
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $67.52
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $46.27
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $958.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $41.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $47.5
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $993.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- User PnL
- $53.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $992.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- $24.5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $124.91
- Potential payout
- $757.01
- Potential profit
- $632.1
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$43.52
No position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $521.71
- Potential payout
- $613.78
- Potential profit
- $92.07
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $69.3
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $111.27
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $9.6
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $54.4
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $1.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $2.64K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $973.02
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $875.53
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $817.64
Yes position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $815.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630
Yes position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $495.06
Yes position
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.45
No position
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.06
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $213.22
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.68
No position
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.79
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.31
Yes position
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.29
Yes position
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.88
No position
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 0.9% 112 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 92% 100 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?Yes 1.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?No 86% 87 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 12% 87.02 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No 99.9% 2,316.94 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No 99.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No 99.9% 15,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No 99.8% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No 99.9% 15,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No 99.1% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No 99.4% 10 shares