Polymarket Trader

a3368166

0x738fe6264bf72bbb3f8fbe225814977142d8ba83

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $94.64
Realized PnL: $5.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$37.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18.5

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $11.47
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $138.52
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$6.52

No position

Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $132
User PnL: -$45.06

Yes position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$51.5

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91.9
Multiplier: 12.35x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.44
Potential profit: $66.44
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.96
Potential profit: $65.96
User PnL: -$35.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $39.59
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $20.4
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.78
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$6.28

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.25
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$37.25

Yes position

Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.72
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$16.72

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$33.99

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $37.46
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $29.6
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$8.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $19.29
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $9.72
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.3
Potential profit: $24.3
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.13
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.9
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$3.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-04?

Ends Dec 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69K

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Padres Series Winner

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.63

Cardinals position

Cardinals vs. 49ers

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.02

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.5

No position

Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.69

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.25

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

Yes position

Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.25

Yes position

Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65

No position

Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.5

Yes position

Will the US not strike another country before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.78

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.65

Yes position

Will the US strike Yemen next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.54

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will the US strike Cuba nex

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.98

Yes position

Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.25

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Yes 36% 50 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 24.8% 27.52 shares
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

Yes 74.4% 4 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 31.1% 99.99 shares
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

Yes 65.2% 192.07 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?

Yes 42% 150 shares
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

No 88.6% 50 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?

No 90% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?

No 59.7% 50 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 38.5% 193.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Yes 15% 100 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 63% 10.49 shares