Wawa...

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $14.82
Potential payout: $673.42
Potential profit: $658.61
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$154.26

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $468.18
Potential profit: $462.8
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$126.64

Yes position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $8.92
Potential payout: $424.99
Potential profit: $416.07
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $8.92

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $26.3
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $173.69
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $26.3

Yes position

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $16.89
Potential payout: $146.87
Potential profit: $129.98
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$18.28

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $78.5
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $21.5

Yes position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $31.48
Potential payout: $81.77
Potential profit: $50.29
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$5.96

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $77.17
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $2.83

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.58
Potential profit: $61.58
User PnL: -$31.07

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.39
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.45
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.98
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.14
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$9.01

Yes position

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.68
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $31.33
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $28.36
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: $0

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $8.01
Potential payout: $21.95
Potential profit: $13.94
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $8.01

Boston Red Sox position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $21.11
Potential profit: $11.4
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $9.71

Over position

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.1
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $5.9

Uruguay position

Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.9
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $9.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.35

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.79

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.3

Yes position

Maduro out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.6

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.69

Solary position

LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.15

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.33

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.16

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $25.88

Vasco Esports position

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.15

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.93

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.56

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.66

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.96

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.28

Gracheva position

Qatar Total Open: Linda Noskova vs Varvara Gracheva

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.6

Yes position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?