No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $87.85
- Potential payout
- $102.75
- Potential profit
- $14.9
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $8.85
Polymarket Trader
0x739c12e142bab0db71389E6Ac2E5fa94dD19a146-1761326815861
0x739c12e142bab0db71389e6ac2e5fa94dd19a146
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $266.57
- Realized PnL
- $688.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $55.9
- Potential payout
- $77.11
- Potential profit
- $21.21
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $59.87
- Potential payout
- $65.79
- Potential profit
- $5.92
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.87
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $37.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.25
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $17.25
N
No position
Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $25.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $14.8
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.56
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.71
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.91
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.73
No position
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $42.18
No position
Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.37
No position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.22
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.58
No position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
No position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.76
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.38
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 6–10 seconds?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 76% 65.79 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No 39% 87.35 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 33% 45 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 98.8% 11.76 shares
- Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 96% 159.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp 99% 5.05 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by June 30, 2026?No 64.8% 77.11 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?No 76.9% 102.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETDown 56% 17.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETDown 1% 499.99 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 85% 11.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown 82% 6.06 shares