Yes position
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $112.44
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$87.55
Polymarket Trader
maxtrant
0x73b183a4567123b5f6d3b57a6c1edc97f0894a78
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $563.7
- Realized PnL
- $1.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $94.65
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$135.34
Yes position
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $51.38
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$48.62
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $63.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $936.5
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$56.5
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $29.13
- Potential payout
- $278.75
- Potential profit
- $249.62
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$170.87
Yes position
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $12.09
- Potential payout
- $268.63
- Potential profit
- $256.54
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$7.91
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.8
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $95.44
- Potential payout
- $130.74
- Potential profit
- $35.3
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$4.56
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $32.78
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $78.33
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $31.93
- Potential payout
- $80.84
- Potential profit
- $48.91
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $40.15
- Potential payout
- $75.76
- Potential profit
- $35.61
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.35
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.37
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.5
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $131.74
Yes position
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.33
Yes position
EU dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $61.72
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.93
Yes position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.46
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.64
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.84
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.04
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.05
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.86
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.1
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
Yes position
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.24
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.99
Yes position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.79
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 44% 80.84 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 66% 75.76 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 76.5% 130.74 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 71.7% 278.75 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 95.8% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 57.2% 46.21 shares
- Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No 64% 4.57 shares
- Will Iran strike Oman again in March?Yes 77.5% 325.1 shares
- Will Iran strike Oman again in March?Yes 76.9% 259.97 shares
- Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?Yes 64.9% 154.01 shares
- Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?Yes 59.2% 37.7 shares
- Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?Yes 58.8% 75.57 shares