Polymarket Trader

BondOrNotBond

0x73b256104df7010ec9f20d9a8cc1903570339389

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $611.3K
Realized PnL: $59.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $122.04K
Potential payout: $600K
Potential profit: $477.96K
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: -$177.96K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $477.9K
Potential payout: $600K
Potential profit: $122.1K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $177.9K

No position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.06K
Potential payout: $8.06K
Potential profit: $4.03
User PnL: $4.03

Under position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $0.98
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $169.15
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $0.85
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Will Sung-Jae Im finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $86.7
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $83.3
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$83.13

No position

Will Ryo Hisatsune finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $169.15
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $0.85
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Will William Mouw finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $169.92
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $164.92
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 IR Iran?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $140.68
Potential payout: $140.96
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $139.93
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 IR Iran?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $131.73
Potential payout: $132.39
Potential profit: $0.66
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

Will J.T. Poston shoot the best round at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 54.2%
Current value: $64.98
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $55.02
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$54.9

No position

Will Robert MacIntyre shoot the best round at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $80.8
Potential payout: $80.8
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.08

Under position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.01
Potential payout: $10.02
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $2.99
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $1.42
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.72K

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.22

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.3

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Saudi Arabia to score first vs. Spain?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.91

Yes position

Spain to win the second half?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.55

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.56

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.02

Yes position

Spain to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.59

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Spain leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

No position

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

No position

Saudi Arabia to win the second half?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Ludvig Åberg shoot the best round at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sung-Jae Im finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

No 99.9% 170 shares
Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

No 99.9% 2.99 shares
Will J.T. Poston shoot the best round at the 2026 U.S. Open?

No 99.9% 120 shares
Will Ryo Hisatsune finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

No 99.9% 170 shares
Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

No 99.9% 170 shares
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5

Under 99.9% 0.98 shares
Will William Mouw finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

No 99.9% 170 shares
Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

No 99.9% 165 shares
Will Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

No 99.9% 5 shares
Will Robert MacIntyre shoot the best round at the 2026 U.S. Open?

No 99.9% 80.8 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Under 99.9% 30 shares
Spain to win the second half?

Yes 99.9% 4,745.02 shares