Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $318.88
- Potential payout
- $4.25K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.97K
Polymarket Trader
0x73bc...e47d
0x73bc25d322f16846757180da2319ed78c4d2e47d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $318.88
- Realized PnL
- $1.42K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.38
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$94.7
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$153.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes 70% 1.43 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 59.3% 689.82 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 54.6% 1,750.5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 49% 655.1 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 48.3% 620.64 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 56% 535.71 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 72.9% 411.38 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel 65% 1,084.84 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel 73.7% 1,084.85 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US 29.5% 1,552.2 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US 39.4% 1,552.21 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 16% 1,850 shares