Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$27.5
Polymarket Trader
Dapsy
@Dapsyxbt
0x73d225c851df25d73b14846a370bdeef9434f9b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.5K
- Realized PnL
- $33.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $270
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $490
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $590
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $468
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$8.51
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $186
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $54
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $265
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $735
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$375
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $612.01
- Potential payout
- $800.01
- Potential profit
- $188
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $644
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $156
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $52
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $67.48
- Potential payout
- $710.36
- Potential profit
- $642.88
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$103
No position
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $649.11
- Potential payout
- $705.56
- Potential profit
- $56.44
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $56.44
No position
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $538.45
- Potential payout
- $641.01
- Potential profit
- $102.56
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$25.64
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $501
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $99
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $57
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $285
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $315
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$69
No position
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $471
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $129
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $519
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $81
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $510
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $293.75
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $226.25
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$49.45
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $422.51
- Potential payout
- $506
- Potential profit
- $83.49
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$12.65
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $476.25
- Potential payout
- $501.58
- Potential profit
- $25.33
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $44.96
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $392.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $107.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $380
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $120
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $373.77
- Potential payout
- $482.28
- Potential profit
- $108.51
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$21.7
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $222
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $178
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $302
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $98
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
US forces in Venezuela by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $998.69
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $994.55
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.84
No position
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $949.19
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $946.76
Yes position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $923.77
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $877.5
No position
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $874.32
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $833.05
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $825.74
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 300 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 90% 3.1 shares
- Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Yes 13% 10 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?Up 74% 8.49 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 30, 2026 or later?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?No 2.4% 300 shares
- Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?Yes 1.9% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.9% 0.1 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 5,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 58.7% 600 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 70.1% 800 shares