Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $6.33K
- Potential profit
- $5.22K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$404.57
Polymarket Trader
offroadtms
0x73d7099e4079bdd9c5f5ab0c05758e2de4aa11b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.26K
- Realized PnL
- $11.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- User PnL
- -$111
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $290
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $30.24
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$8.71
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $50.71
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$427.38
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $642.13
- Potential profit
- $634.11
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $46.88
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $578.13
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $250
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $276.32
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $5.27
- Potential payout
- $502.01
- Potential profit
- $496.74
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$13.73
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.6%
- Current value
- $276.82
- Potential payout
- $381.55
- Potential profit
- $104.74
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $176.82
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $362.9
- Potential profit
- $362.9
- User PnL
- -$13
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $342.22
- Potential profit
- $342.22
- User PnL
- -$88
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $51
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $149
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $139.86
- Potential payout
- $148
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $80.66
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.47
- Potential profit
- $137.47
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.61
- Potential profit
- $119.61
- User PnL
- -$32.85
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.85
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $69.23
- Potential profit
- $68.4
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.82
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $831.75
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $350
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.1
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $325.59
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.07
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.94
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.29
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.39
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $147.37
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.31
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.08
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $135.53
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.29
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.19
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $82.74
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.68
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.67
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.48
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.62
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 26.2% 381.55 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 39% 2 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 40% 150 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 16% 250 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 78.2% 500 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 21% 571.43 shares