Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03M
- Potential profit
- $2.03M
- User PnL
- -$184.81K
Polymarket Trader
Stonktrader
0x73e35ce0b7e36ef3ce29ebd12b30b28007383239
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.35K
- Realized PnL
- $2.61M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03M
- Potential profit
- $2.03M
- User PnL
- -$184.81K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03M
- Potential profit
- $2.03M
- User PnL
- -$184.81K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03M
- Potential profit
- $2.03M
- User PnL
- -$184.81K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03M
- Potential profit
- $2.03M
- User PnL
- -$184.81K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03M
- Potential profit
- $2.03M
- User PnL
- -$184.81K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03M
- Potential profit
- $2.03M
- User PnL
- -$184.8K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.02M
- Potential profit
- $2.02M
- User PnL
- -$183.36K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01M
- Potential profit
- $2.01M
- User PnL
- -$182.9K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49M
- Potential profit
- $1.49M
- User PnL
- -$746.98K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.21K
- Potential profit
- $24.21K
- User PnL
- -$4.55K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.59K
- Potential profit
- $15.59K
- User PnL
- -$15.59
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.56K
- Potential profit
- $10.56K
- User PnL
- -$274.43
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.75K
- Potential profit
- $7.75K
- User PnL
- -$3.22K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.52K
- Potential profit
- $6.52K
- User PnL
- -$1.38K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.65K
- Potential profit
- $4.65K
- User PnL
- -$316.97
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $3.27K
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $748.1
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$187.34
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$925
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$122.51
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- User PnL
- $44.07
Yes position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $958
- Potential profit
- $958
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $899.4
- Potential profit
- $899.4
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85M
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $722.68K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.06K
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06K
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712.91
No position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.25
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $677.64
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $610.2
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.81
Yes position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $558.74
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.8
Yes position
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382.59
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.41
No position
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.29
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.29
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.01
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $226.14
No position
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.53
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Micron (MU) finish week of June 15 above $990?Yes 99% 30 shares
- Will Micron (MU) finish week of June 15 above $980?Yes 99% 30 shares
- Will Micron (MU) finish week of June 15 above $970?Yes 99% 30 shares
- Will Micron (MU) finish week of June 15 above $960?Yes 99% 30 shares
- Will Micron (MU) finish week of June 15 above $950?Yes 99% 30 shares
- Will Micron (MU) finish week of June 15 above $1,060?Yes 99% 30 shares
- Will Micron (MU) finish week of June 15 above $940?Yes 99% 30 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 95.6% 877 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of June 15 2026?No 99% 169.96 shares
- Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $157.50 Week of June 15 2026?No 98.5% 40 shares
- Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $152.50 Week of June 15 2026?No 99% 447.4 shares
- Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of June 15 2026?No 98.9% 245 shares