No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $23.39
- Potential payout
- $114.09
- Potential profit
- $90.7
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $14.26
Polymarket Trader
0x73ef...ca9e
0x73ef3300e6fe11f455f0818562836e0b639bca9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $119.44
- Realized PnL
- $15.25
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $38.77
- Potential payout
- $66.28
- Potential profit
- $27.51
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $35.66
- Potential payout
- $40.29
- Potential profit
- $4.63
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $35.11
- Potential profit
- $34.43
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $21.63
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $14.21
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $8.05
- Potential profit
- $6.28
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.27
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.6% 93.84 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 20.9% 59.95 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 19.7% 68 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 2.3% 145.25 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 2.8% 26.14 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.8% 54.48 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.4% 117.13 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.1% 53.89 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 8% 114.09 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.2% 197.75 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91% 57.95 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 94.7% 35.86 shares