No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $296.13
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $358.13
Polymarket Trader
HA002
0x73f75e45e0fbd67f64072346a791329f575f6099
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.24K
- Realized PnL
- $1.53K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $910.92
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $95.62
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $90.92
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $433.16
- Potential payout
- $453.34
- Potential profit
- $20.17
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $58.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $566.66
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $290.67
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.34
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.24
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.38
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.62
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.68
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $22.73
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $20.02
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.95
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.48
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
Yes position
Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 1,031.36 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 99.9% 555.55 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 6% 120.45 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 6% 120.44 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 7% 240.89 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 90% 111.11 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 10% 481.77 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 90% 444.44 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 10% 963.54 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 11% 1,927.08 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 97% 1,031.36 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 19% 1,284.72 shares