Polymarket Trader

keinbock

0x73fcadfb04e3cdab8e99fd5cfb4e8c0b8aab6652

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.76
Realized PnL: $20.64
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: -$5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $8.89
Potential profit: $4.13
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $6.76
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.14
Potential profit: $6.14
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $5.43
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.3
Potential profit: $5.3
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $5.15
User PnL: -$3.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.88

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$3.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 27% 8.89 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

No 37.2% 6.45 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 8.9% 10.85 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 22.1% 10.86 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 43% 11.63 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 74% 6.76 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 8.62 shares
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Yes 30% 10 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 51% 9.8 shares
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Yes 0.5% 5.3 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 75% 6.67 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 51% 9.8 shares