Polymarket Trader

Piotr1234

0x7408584441994b0d14c47d3d936349556c1cdb0d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.27K
Realized PnL: $2.15K
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.41K
Potential profit: $22.41K
User PnL: -$2.95K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.81K
Potential profit: $16.81K
User PnL: -$67.09

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 35.6%
Current value: $3.27K
Potential payout: $9.18K
Potential profit: $5.91K
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $11.02

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.99K
Potential profit: $7.99K
User PnL: -$87.86

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $3.42K
User PnL: -$10.25

Yes position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.38K
Potential profit: $3.38K
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.14K
User PnL: -$1.15K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$79.2

Morocco position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$300

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $854.71
Potential profit: $854.71
User PnL: -$140.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $749.83
Potential profit: $749.83
User PnL: -$74.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $722.42
Potential profit: $722.42
User PnL: -$67.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $688.76
Potential profit: $688.76
User PnL: -$190.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $632.16
Potential profit: $632.16
User PnL: -$79.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $560.68
Potential profit: $560.68
User PnL: -$207.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485.91
Potential profit: $485.91
User PnL: -$75.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $456.37
Potential profit: $456.37
User PnL: -$37.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $374.72
Potential profit: $374.72
User PnL: -$82.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $363.78
Potential profit: $363.78
User PnL: -$32.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.7
Potential profit: $352.7
User PnL: -$177.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $346.54
Potential profit: $346.54
User PnL: -$123.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $341.26
Potential profit: $341.26
User PnL: -$85.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.88
Potential profit: $303.88
User PnL: -$76.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $536.75

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.42

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.56

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.37

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.96

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$67

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$67.46

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$81

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$101.45

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$135.19

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$290.87

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$708.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 35.5% 2,645.77 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 35.5% 2,668.99 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 35.5% 3,863.52 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 14% 152.5 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 22.7% 1,318.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Down 34% 133.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Down 41% 111.59 shares
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 2.9% 8,390.27 shares
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 19% 137.58 shares
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 19.3% 13,882.53 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 0.9% 26,131.21 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 0.9% 26,131.2 shares