Polymarket Trader

ApeCap

0x740e31b86f3914aa134340cfed89bdba0eecfff3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.34K
Realized PnL: $12.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Poirier position

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.71K
Potential profit: $25.71K
User PnL: -$5.96K

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $6.96K
Potential payout: $7.25K
Potential profit: $286.37
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $322.62

No position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$468.72

Yes position

Cardano ETF in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $627.76
Potential profit: $627.76
User PnL: -$544.92

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460
Potential profit: $460
User PnL: -$10.12

Yes position

Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408
Potential profit: $408
User PnL: -$13.7

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $190.45
Potential payout: $369.81
Potential profit: $179.36
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282
Potential profit: $282
User PnL: -$10.43

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.21
Potential profit: $236.21
User PnL: -$38.97

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216
Potential profit: $216
User PnL: -$6.48

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $184.63
Potential payout: $185
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: $14.43

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169
Potential profit: $169
User PnL: -$10.14

Yes position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147
Potential profit: $147
User PnL: -$10.29

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.9
Potential profit: $130.9
User PnL: -$70.69

No position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.15
Potential profit: $114.15
User PnL: -$19.41

No position

US x China tariff agreement by November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $66
User PnL: -$12.54

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$7.6

No position

Chirayu Rana sued?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.11
Potential profit: $4.11
User PnL: -$1.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Alaska position

Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Joshua position

Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Perry position

PA-10 election: Stelson (D) vs. Perry (R)

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $802.68

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625.78

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $584.64

Yes position

Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $564.59

Yes position

Will Solana reach $190 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $560

No position

Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540.36

Yes position

Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540

No position

Will XRP reach $3.10 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $534

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $400

Yes position

Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370

Yes position

Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $321.18

No position

Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 2.0%-3.0%?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.44

No position

Trump blowout victory?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315

Yes position

Solana above $130 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $287.5

Yes position

Will West Ham win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.05

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $267.45

Yes position

Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.8

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.85

No position

GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 100,000 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

No 92% 185 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Yes 53% 369.81 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?

Yes 90.1% 435.99 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?

Yes 60% 517.95 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 92.7% 250 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?

Yes 82.5% 6.06 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?

Yes 97.3% 16 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?

Yes 97.9% 5,600 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 91.6% 5,924.26 shares
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?

No 95.6% 117.13 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Yes 97.4% 1,262 shares