No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $17.13
- Potential payout
- $22.39
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Polymarket Trader
0x741A1577eedE5be10C203fFD54a2A6778601c6Ca-1782188843521
0x741a1577eede5be10c203ffd54a2a6778601c6ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.75
- Realized PnL
- $2.85
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $15.63
- Potential payout
- $15.65
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $7.18
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $5.85
- Potential profit
- $4.87
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $2.84
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 5?Yes 54% 15.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 5?No 46% 19.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 5?No 66% 19.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 6?No 67% 22.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 5?No 86% 31.06 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 5.85 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35.2% 2.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 5?No 64.4% 31.06 shares