Polymarket Trader

0x741b1f588E4f898F95E3460F42b23934ebD3A259-1780615805004

0x741b1f588e4f898f95e3460f42b23934ebd3a259

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $233.74
Realized PnL: $200.87
Win rate: 76.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $300.01
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $291.45
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $39.38
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $170.63
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $14.03

Yes position

Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $180.99
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $28.39
Potential payout: $141.6
Potential profit: $113.21
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $4.19

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $58.1
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $81.9
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$10

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.99
Potential profit: $139.99
User PnL: -$5.18

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $85
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $54.25
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.26
Potential profit: $65.26
User PnL: -$20.58

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $59.7
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.32
Potential profit: $53.32
User PnL: -$9.2

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $6.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $33.8
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $31.18
Potential profit: $26.34
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$4.96

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$5.1

No position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $15.25
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.23

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.75

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.98

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.05

Spain position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.8

No position

Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4.6%
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 78% 70 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.3% 25 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.4% 50 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 77% 30 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 79% 80 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 79% 65.59 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 15% 60 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 67% 15 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 67% 15 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?

Yes 6% 85 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

England 69% 15.2 shares
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 13% 100 shares