Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $224.98
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $846.33
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $97.67
Polymarket Trader
MilitantCentrist
0x74212957c79696556750b7cb2515866646d7095c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.84K
- Realized PnL
- $404.37
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $815.38
- Potential payout
- $819.07
- Potential profit
- $3.69
- User PnL
- $53.65
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $566.35
- Potential payout
- $632.79
- Potential profit
- $66.44
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $38.13
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $254.31
- Potential payout
- $281
- Potential profit
- $26.69
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $24.62
Yes position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $165
- User PnL
- -$119.86
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136
- Potential profit
- $136
- User PnL
- -$100.64
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $135.66
- Potential payout
- $136
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- $35.02
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $121.85
- Potential payout
- $126.99
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $21.52
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $123.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $23.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $109.8
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $105.89
- Potential payout
- $117
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $111.25
- Potential payout
- $113
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.68
No position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $112.04
- Potential payout
- $113
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- User PnL
- $11.47
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$100.1
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $100.65
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $56.3
- Potential payout
- $67.83
- Potential profit
- $11.53
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.4
No position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.23
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.36
No position
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.77
No position
Will the next Pope be from Asia?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.96
No position
Will the next Pope be Black?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.03
No position
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Will 7 inmates be captured by Friday?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.38
No position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.95
No position
Will Michael Flynn be next National Security Advisor?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.27
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.96
No position
Obama divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
No position
Will "Thunderbolts" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Lana Del Rey divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?No 76.3% 25.26 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 117 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 120 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 79% 126.99 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 89% 113 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 74% 136 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No 91% 110 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?No 82% 30 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 86% 117 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 93% 110 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 91% 110 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 92% 110 shares