Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
Chickenwinnerwinner
0x7423efcbc039b833e75f214cacb4461551e3c55f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $146.83
- Realized PnL
- $1.14K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.1%
- Current value
- $137.88
- Potential payout
- $281.11
- Potential profit
- $143.23
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $37.88
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.53
- Potential profit
- $252.53
- User PnL
- -$50
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $176.47
- User PnL
- -$30
Pacers position
Raptors vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.08
- Potential profit
- $173.08
- User PnL
- -$45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.93
- Potential profit
- $162.93
- User PnL
- -$49.44
Yes position
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.35
- Potential profit
- $155.35
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.23
- Potential profit
- $145.23
- User PnL
- -$50
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.44
- Potential profit
- $144.44
- User PnL
- -$26
Yadong position
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$50
EDward Gaming position
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$100
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$24
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.9
- Potential profit
- $130.9
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Kings
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.87
- Potential profit
- $129.87
- User PnL
- -$100
Shevchenko position
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Alexander Shevchenko
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$12
Wizards position
Wizards vs. Clippers
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$12
T1 position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $77.79
- Potential profit
- $68.84
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$19.06
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.63
- Potential profit
- $74.63
- User PnL
- -$50
OG position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.81
- Potential profit
- $62.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Lakers
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $150.15
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.45
Team WE position
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.43
Kings position
Lakers vs. Kings
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.44
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.52
JD Gaming position
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.57
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.38
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.36
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- $50.67
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.71
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.67
Grizzlies position
Nets vs. Grizzlies
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.85
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.75
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.94
Humbert position
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Alexander Shevchenko
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.74
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $27.75
Clippers position
Wizards vs. Clippers
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.3
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.15
Warriors position
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.83
Warriors position
Bulls vs. Warriors
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.37
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.26
Lakers position
Hawks vs. Lakers
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Raducanu position
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osorio
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 35.6% 281.11 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 42% 477.77 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?Yes 68% 208.33 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?Yes 48% 208.33 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 36% 555.56 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94% 319.31 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 47% 319.31 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 82.3% 122.28 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?Yes 6% 333.33 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 37% 92.59 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 27% 92.59 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 42.4% 58.98 shares