Polymarket Trader

marinass

0x746a12e948a6e19f0e11e7e62a2d02389ac91dc2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $87.11
Realized PnL: $33.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.38
Potential payout: $12.38
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.18
Potential payout: $12.18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.18

No position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $9.44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $7.87
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$1.38

No position

Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.18
Potential payout: $7.18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $6.04
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $5.14
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $4.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.47
Potential profit: $3.47
User PnL: -$2.99

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.37
Potential profit: $3.37
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.9%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $3.16
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $2.41
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Syria by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.86

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Will Haas have the second highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Mirra Andreeva position

Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will CA Banfield win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Laura Siegemund position

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomova

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Mark Lajal position

Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Akira Santillan

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Peter Navarro out of Trump administration in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

GTA VI delay announced before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in May?

No 94% 5.32 shares
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?

No 95.3% 9.44 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

No 82.1% 12.18 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 96.9% 12.38 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No 99.8% 10.02 shares
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar

Mirra Andreeva 81% 7.37 shares
Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Akira Santillan

Mark Lajal 85% 4.98 shares
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99% 1,656.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 25?

No 99.1% 8.07 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 25?

No 99% 10.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 25?

No 97.3% 15.4 shares
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.1% 12,490 shares