No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $80.27
- Potential payout
- $668.93
- Potential profit
- $588.66
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Polymarket Trader
0x746b39A40C5D00DDd2842855f6d47Ee6C5F713bE-1730833935963
0x746b39a40c5d00ddd2842855f6d47ee6c5f713be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $217.59
- Realized PnL
- $138.31
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.24
- Potential profit
- $154.24
- User PnL
- -$60.49
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $143.62
- Potential profit
- $138.45
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113
- Potential profit
- $113
- User PnL
- -$24.21
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $61.33
- Potential payout
- $78.13
- Potential profit
- $16.8
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $11.33
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.59
- Potential profit
- $71.59
- User PnL
- -$24.34
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $56.5
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $51.39
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $35.09
- Potential payout
- $53.57
- Potential profit
- $18.48
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $5.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.2
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $46.88
- Potential profit
- $45.7
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $44.44
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $8.36
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $34.5
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.94
- Potential profit
- $38.94
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $29.17
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.55
- Potential profit
- $29.55
- User PnL
- -$11.23
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.21
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.9
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $11.18
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.4
- Potential profit
- $16.4
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.52
- Potential profit
- $15.52
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.31
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.73
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.95
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes 15% 33.33 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 3.5% 143.62 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 64% 78.13 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 33% 18.18 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 54% 1.85 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 7% 214.29 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 45.9% 217.73 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes 8% 50 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 52% 37.73 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 6% 266.67 shares