Polymarket Trader

AAK.81

0x747b114f1e963bc61ef0438b3823496ca924a2d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $159.14
Realized PnL: $385.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$3

No position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$10.49

No position

Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $21.73
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $60.27
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$23.6

No position

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $15.87
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $53.13
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $15.17
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $53.32
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.99
Potential profit: $65.99
User PnL: -$13.12

Yes position

Deel IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.3
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $53.7
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $33.35
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $24.65
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $13.39

Yes position

Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $13.48
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $41.53
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $10.97
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $39.02
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.99
Potential profit: $48.99
User PnL: -$19.62

No position

Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $17.52
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $30.48
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $43.02
Potential profit: $42.87
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$15.47

No position

Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $10.1
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $32.9
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Jack Schlossberg be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.94
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$10.19

No position

Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.99
Potential profit: $35.99
User PnL: -$10.04

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $7.19
Potential payout: $35.05
Potential profit: $27.86
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.65
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$4.55

No position

Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $30.8
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$7.65

Yes position

Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.99
Potential profit: $32.99
User PnL: -$4.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ryan Busse be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.64

No position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.35

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.2

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $35.9

Yes position

Will PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.84

Yes position

Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $25.8

No position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $22.88

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $13.65

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.05

No position

Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.09

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.09

Yes position

Will Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.64

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.93

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.28

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5

Over 53% 11 shares
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Yes 43% 20 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5

Over 45% 11 shares
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Yes 21% 25 shares
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Yes 20% 10.05 shares
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

No 58% 9 shares
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

No 58% 26 shares
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

No 25% 29.6 shares
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

No 24% 8.3 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5

Over 48% 13 shares
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

No 14% 35 shares
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No 33% 28 shares