No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Polymarket Trader
0x7486B597823e1050Acb9EF7C71cCE066d78Fae83-1761965755651
0x7486b597823e1050acb9ef7c71cce066d78fae83
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $280.85
- Realized PnL
- $4.79
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $99.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $5.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 99.1% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.7% 100 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSomething 32% 100 shares
- Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No 68% 49 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSomething 26% 100 shares
- Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No 72% 70.93 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 99.7% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No 99.3% 100 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 84% 100 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.8% 115.46 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 15.23 shares