No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $892.25
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$182.75
Polymarket Trader
AuthenticDemigod
0x7487d969969767a997d3cbfe8d4aa540b0b6fc0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.59K
- Realized PnL
- $15.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $892.25
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $182.75
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $553.25
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $86.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $108.75
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $800
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $200
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $96
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $524.99
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $475
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$90.51
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $748.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $51.6
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $28.4
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $634.89
- Potential payout
- $668.31
- Potential profit
- $33.42
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $16.32
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $449.83
- Potential payout
- $553.63
- Potential profit
- $103.81
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $67.14
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $495.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- User PnL
- $37.29
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $496
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- $11.97
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $495.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- User PnL
- $25.08
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $77.5
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $422.49
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$27.5
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $398.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $278.21
- Potential payout
- $329.24
- Potential profit
- $51.03
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $222
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $78
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$14.1
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $244.47
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $55.53
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$13.53
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $280.05
- Potential payout
- $299.2
- Potential profit
- $19.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $249.38
- Potential payout
- $250.01
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- User PnL
- $89.54
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $191
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $176
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$55.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 50 or more times during the March meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Elon say "DOGE" 7+ times during Baier interview on Thursday?
Ends Mar 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $569.39
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550
Yes position
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his cabinet meeting on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $462.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" 10+ times during his cabinet meeting on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.92
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.27
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.96
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.8
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.55
No position
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.9
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.56
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.03
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.81
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" during his DOJ appearance on Friday?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.63
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Price" 15 or more times during the March meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Border" 3+ times during his DOJ appearance on Friday?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.38
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $267.69
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 40 or more times during the March meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 44% 800 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 56.1% 500 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 70% 192.75 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 65.6% 300 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 63.4% 139.12 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?No 84% 29.24 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97.1% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 70.5% 228.26 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 67% 499.99 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?No 78.7% 300 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?No 84.7% 192.41 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?No 92% 60 shares