Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $13.12
- Potential payout
- $57.05
- Potential profit
- $43.93
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$20.6
Polymarket Trader
Avivtel
0x7489e437bd44d74aee5209d8d214125ba3794c80
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.6
- Realized PnL
- $463.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.88
- Potential profit
- $37.88
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $11.54
- Potential profit
- $9.06
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.68
No position
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $74.73
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.69
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.31
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $19.24
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $14.48
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5PM ET
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.39
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-01-30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-01-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Yes position
Will OGC Nice vs. Montpellier HSC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes 26% 11.54 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No 88.4% 177.18 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 79.9% 49.42 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes 94% 445.99 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes 89.7% 446 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 50.6% 49.43 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No 46.3% 177.18 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 65% 10.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp 33% 6.06 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 39.6% 37.88 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 63% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 31% 50 shares