Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $42.41
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Polymarket Trader
0x748bea8E0439C0657EF9B33e4a16f346Ccc116E4-1773377835317
0x748bea8e0439c0657ef9b33e4a16f346ccc116e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.93
- Realized PnL
- $55.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $16.85
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $11.34
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $8.92
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $9.9
- Potential profit
- $9.33
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.17
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $5.82
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Cincinnati Reds position
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Cholet position
Paris Basketball vs. Cholet
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Nanterre position
Monaco vs. Nanterre
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Bahcesehir Koleji position
Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
CB Murcia position
Barcelona vs. CB Murcia
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Shanghai Sharks position
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Philadelphia Phillies position
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
La Laguna Tenerife position
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Seattle Mariners position
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Quimsa position
Boca Juniors vs. Quimsa
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Arizona Diamondbacks position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Houston Astros position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on June 30?No 85% 5.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 28?No 92% 5.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 30?No 81% 6.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?No 92% 5.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on June 29?No 85.9% 5.82 shares
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over 64% 15.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?No 87% 5.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on June 29?No 98% 5.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 29?No 97% 5.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 28?No 81% 6.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 26?No 89% 5.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?No 82% 6.1 shares