Polymarket Trader

0x74A4EA190a127e0e51aC3Ed47930D6d0ebD829b6-1772577061340

0x74a4ea190a127e0e51ac3ed47930d6d0ebd829b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.77
Realized PnL: $82.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $29.95
Potential payout: $30.58
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 46.1%
Current value: $10.39
Potential payout: $22.53
Potential profit: $12.14
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$2.61

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $21.22
Potential payout: $21.23
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.4%
Current value: $10.16
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $1.74
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $10.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.04
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.23

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Bucks position

Mavericks vs. Bucks

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 15)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Trump say "Excursion" during trophy presentation?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Solana reach $100 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 59.7% 8.37 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.1% 30.58 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.2% 21.23 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?

No 18% 5.56 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 59.5% 1.68 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 56.7% 5.29 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Take First Corner

France 68% 1.47 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 54% 3.7 shares
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?

Yes 4.2% 23.81 shares
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?

Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares