No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $145.38
- Potential payout
- $252.83
- Potential profit
- $107.45
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$10.13
Polymarket Trader
aimzol
0x74b5fd94185b4781d73f7843731e89a536a59cde
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $273.8
- Realized PnL
- $81.89
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $106.15
- Potential payout
- $139.67
- Potential profit
- $33.52
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $15.74
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $22.27
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $68.64
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$7.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.35
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.76
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.86
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
No position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 47% 21.28 shares
- Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?No 87% 10.95 shares
- Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?No 73% 10.96 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 33% 90.91 shares
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes 12% 41.66 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 58% 14.92 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 25% 55.56 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 74.5% 65.73 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 91% 53.89 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 64% 156.25 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 82% 5.98 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 82% 5.92 shares