Polymarket Trader

trump-zbc

0x74bb737bf5e9f020309fac5c16439bec8a613b52

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.28K
Realized PnL: $7.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $108.68
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$85.81

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $231.87
Potential payout: $786
Potential profit: $554.13
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$110.35

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $575.31
Potential payout: $689
Potential profit: $113.69
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $375.5

Yes position

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $37.2
Potential payout: $496
Potential profit: $458.8
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$31.32

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $12.18
Potential payout: $348
Potential profit: $335.82
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$5.22

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $16.62
Potential payout: $255.63
Potential profit: $239.01
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$19.16

Yes position

Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $68.04
Potential payout: $247.41
Potential profit: $179.37
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$45.77

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $55.02
Potential payout: $131
Potential profit: $75.98
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $4.83

No position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $115
User PnL: -$34.2

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $72.35
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $18.66
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $36.31

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $47.5
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.65
Potential payout: $69.17
Potential profit: $60.52
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $14.43
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $44.57
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: -$2.49

No position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.38
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$4.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

New York Mets position

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.88

Baltimore Orioles position

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $535.08

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.04

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.33

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.51

San Francisco Giants position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.3

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.86

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.63

LOS position

LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.53

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $218.75

Canucks position

Kings vs. Canucks

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.64

Galions position

LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.7

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.73

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.36

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.88

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.13

Blues position

Blues vs. Ducks

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.08

Devils position

Senators vs. Devils

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.64

No position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.56

paiN position

Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.1

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.49

Predators position

Wild vs. Predators

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.45

Cloud9 position

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stage

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Yes 7.2% 12 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

Yes 76% 7 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 37.7% 2 shares
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes 46% 247.41 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 37.6% 386 shares
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?

No 51% 300 shares
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?

Yes 28% 300 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 39.9% 300 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Yes 49.6% 956 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 34% 818 shares
Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Pistons 9% 541 shares
Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Pistons 28% 83 shares