No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $7.09
- Potential payout
- $315
- Potential profit
- $307.91
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$43.31
Polymarket Trader
Joblessguy
@Joblessguy_on_X
0x74bc42104ca3b91a741e02a487b95755c29ae4da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12
- Realized PnL
- $5.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.65
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Y
Yes position
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $4.68
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Netherlands position
International T20 Series: Australia vs Netherlands (Game 1)
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $623.21
Zimbabwe position
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.46
Nepal position
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.26
New Zealand position
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.29
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.73
Afghanistan position
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $188.37
Mumbai Indians position
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.69
Sri Lanka position
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.4
Australia position
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $147.4
Royal Challengers Bangalore position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.71
Sri Lanka position
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.78
Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women position
WPL: Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women vs Delhi Capitals Women
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.23
Yes position
Will Pádraig Harrington finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Rajasthan Royals position
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Mumbai Indians position
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Royal Challengers Bangalore position
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.35
Yes position
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.07
Delhi Capitals position
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.07
South Africa position
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africa
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.5
Lucknow Super Giants position
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.51
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.5
England position
T20 World Cup: England vs Scotland (Game 1)
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 26?No 15% 85 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 26?No 16% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 30% 16.66 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 26?No 16% 5.95 shares
- Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 52% 9.9 shares
- Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 55% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 22?No 14% 100 shares
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes 99% 77 shares
- Will Patrick Rodgers finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?No 98% 5.21 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes 92% 24.42 shares
- Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?Yes 20.7% 200 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?Yes 46% 2 shares