Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $7.71
- Potential payout
- $405.99
- Potential profit
- $398.28
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Polymarket Trader
luckycharm888
0x74c1ab9a43700aa6d9ea30577c004a8cc0f1ab9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $397.79
- Realized PnL
- $2.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $171.35
- Potential payout
- $212.86
- Potential profit
- $41.51
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $14.07
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $100.65
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $19.25
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $25.86
- Potential payout
- $105.57
- Potential profit
- $79.71
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$7.89
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $92.21
- Potential payout
- $97.06
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $10.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $829.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $411.75
Yes position
Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.84
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.19
HOTU position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.4
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.46
Yes position
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.79
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $60.47
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.09
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.09
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $38.66
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.53
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.94
Yes position
Will Arcium launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.9
FUT Esports position
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.45
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Cavaliers
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.39
Inner Circle Esports position
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.07
GamerLegion position
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.67
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.07
M80 position
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3)
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.47
NRG position
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3)
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.04
Phoenix position
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Phoenix (BO3)
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 2% 100 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 2% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 42% 69.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 72% 49.84 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No 24% 35 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.4% 163.95 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 76% 163.01 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 4% 42.08 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 74% 110 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 65% 69.54 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 63% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 62.7% 20.26 shares