N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Darkpsico-
@ingehenry777
0x74c3f65f6ffc0bfcca6628502a5c4d04578cbbe6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.34
- Realized PnL
- $1.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $6.41
- Potential payout
- $42.76
- Potential profit
- $36.34
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $4.08
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 4, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $40.17
- Potential profit
- $39.99
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $32.11
- Potential profit
- $31.72
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.14
- Potential profit
- $16.14
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $15.33
- Potential profit
- $12.34
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $9.92
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 7.25x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.81
- Potential profit
- $6.81
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.14
- Potential profit
- $6.14
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.65
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.6
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Apr 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.27
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.11
Yes position
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.57
Yes position
Iran response to Israel by Sunday?
Ends Apr 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.85
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.42
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.04
No position
Will Trump say Bunker buster during his Iran address on June 21?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.05
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.78
No position
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.55
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.09
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.71
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.34
No position
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.79
Orioles position
Twins vs. Orioles
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.01
Yes position
Trump x Xi talk before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.07
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.9
Yes position
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.73
No position
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.35
Yes position
Trump trade deal in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.21
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.41
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 6% 5 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 11, 2026?Yes 0.8% 32.11 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 12.1% 9.92 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 4, 2026?Yes 0.5% 40.17 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes 12% 15.33 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?2% 50 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 68% 2.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown 47% 2.13 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 5.7% 20.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETUp 8.5% 11.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETUp 99% 13.33 shares