Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $404.48
- Potential payout
- $6.22K
- Potential profit
- $5.82K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$612.4
Polymarket Trader
0x74CD16c7d824C669b1c78FC1062105Fc24bd67fE-1767994688018
0x74cd16c7d824c669b1c78fc1062105fc24bd67fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $404.48
- Realized PnL
- -$657.3
- Win rate
- 35%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.86
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.08
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.25
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.82
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.12
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.22
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.19
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$164.01
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$764.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 12% 547.83 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 0.7% 9,304.03 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 11% 294.27 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 1% 3,101.34 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 3.3% 745.99 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 13% 192.31 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 3.2% 937.81 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 3.7% 672.85 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 13% 384.62 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 3.9% 641.03 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 12% 208.33 shares