No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $98.87
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $64.34
Polymarket Trader
0x74ce...92ed
0x74ce187efaf1e2a50f1d029918caa74ad91892ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $609.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.82
- Potential profit
- $81.82
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.43
- Potential profit
- $78.43
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $64.52
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.39
- Potential profit
- $48.39
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.09
- Potential profit
- $35.09
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.61
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71
Yes position
Megaquake before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.84
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.81
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.77
No position
Megaquake in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.58
No position
Megaquake in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
No position
Megaquake in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.95
Yes position
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
Will Ukraine join NATO before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.54
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.95
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
Megaquake before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.37
Yes position
Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44
Yes position
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.43
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23
No position
Megaquake in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.99
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 1,163.21 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No 93.5% 53.48 shares
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 3.1% 64.52 shares
- Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 6% 50 shares
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 11% 81.82 shares
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 29% 100 shares
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes 3.1% 48.39 shares
- Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes 85% 117.65 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes 75% 100 shares