Y
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $13.93
- Potential payout
- $66.34
- Potential profit
- $52.41
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Polymarket Trader
liljanibosna
0x74d5ad22e8173c48e4aa393c093011113c90195b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.97
- Realized PnL
- $70.14
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $14.75
- Potential payout
- $40.97
- Potential profit
- $26.22
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $2.05
Y
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $28.35
- Potential profit
- $26.51
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $25.39
- Potential profit
- $24.95
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $9.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?Yes 9.3% 50 shares
- Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in July 2026?Yes 3.5% 61.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 27?Yes 12.6% 24.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 27?No 34% 4.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 27?No 34.5% 40.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 27?No 40% 5.27 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?Yes 3% 28.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 27?No 67.8% 36.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown 86.6% 144.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown 39% 25.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown 40% 62.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown 44% 56.82 shares