No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $23.21
- Potential payout
- $23.46
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Polymarket Trader
watter
0x74dbe6c33156703ff69bf47690322c4ae4c88b83
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.89
- Realized PnL
- $12.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $17.87
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $10.66
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 10.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $3.1
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $2.74
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $2.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.4% 119.99 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.4% 8.06 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 96% 5.21 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 97.9% 5.11 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.8% 10.66 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 10.99 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 87% 3.45 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 96.9% 3.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No 73% 1.37 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 41% 2.44 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 90.2% 1.11 shares