Polymarket Trader

BasileEmperor

0x74dc0b6ead0c3841bef5ebdf9a7b8d0499652762

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $80.55
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $504
Potential profit: $503.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.75

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.37
Potential profit: $122.37
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.14
Potential profit: $63.14
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.38
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$8.38

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 45.6%
Current value: $21.29
Potential payout: $46.73
Potential profit: $25.44
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $11.29

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $15.96
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $5.96

Yes position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $6.27
Potential payout: $16.5
Potential profit: $10.23
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$2.73

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $10.48
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $3.22
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $10.19
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $2.47
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $1.71
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Yes 54.5% 16.5 shares
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35% 28.57 shares
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 26% 38.46 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.4% 46.73 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?

Yes 2% 504 shares
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

No 73% 13.7 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?

No 8.2% 122.37 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

No 15.8% 63.14 shares
Will Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 79% 12.66 shares