profitStable

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $483.04
Potential profit: $481.1
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $372.98
Potential profit: $371.49
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.28
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $122.97
Potential profit: $122.36
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 18?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $109.78
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $105.85
Potential profit: $105.43
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $102.94
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $101.94
Potential profit: $100.46
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $77.42
Potential profit: $76.26
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $71.34
Potential profit: $69.81
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $42.22
Potential profit: $37.15
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $28.85
Potential profit: $28.64
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.97
Potential profit: $23.97
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $19.44
Potential profit: $17.3
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.88
Potential profit: $14.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $6.2
Potential profit: $5.67
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.06
Potential profit: $4.06
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $3.1
Potential profit: $2.96
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $2.09
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 18?

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 12.3%
Multiplier: 8.13x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 18?

Implied probability: 38%
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 18?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 31.2%
Multiplier: 3.21x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 17?