Polymarket Trader

0x74E68D8FbdC0baB0E004ad529Be87981e0B44f6C-1770312721609

0x74e68d8fbdc0bab0e004ad529be87981e0b44f6c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $84.75
Realized PnL: $490.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $735.01
Potential profit: $735.01
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $710
Potential profit: $710
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.37
Potential profit: $371.37
User PnL: -$2.23

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.97
Potential profit: $286.97
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.0% in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.53
Potential profit: $272.53
User PnL: -$13.26

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $229.45
Potential profit: $228.42
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $193
Potential profit: $182
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $190
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.04
Potential profit: $179.04
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $13.37
Potential payout: $172.57
Potential profit: $159.19
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.86
Potential profit: $162.86
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.5% in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.94
Potential profit: $141.94
User PnL: -$11.2

Yes position

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $17.03
Potential payout: $118.67
Potential profit: $101.64
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $103.05
Potential profit: $101.35
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.05
Potential profit: $103.05
User PnL: -$1.13

No position

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.85
Potential profit: $100.85
User PnL: -$8.25

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $18.08
Potential payout: $99.61
Potential profit: $81.53
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $16.04

Yes position

Will Dennis Hauger win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.68
Potential profit: $70.68
User PnL: -$14.14

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $60.27
Potential profit: $58.43
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$11.41

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.0% by the end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $20.69
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $39.3
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $1.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.08

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.87

No position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.52

Yes position

Will Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.13

Yes position

Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.39

Yes position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.52

Casper Ruud position

Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.84

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $17.49

Yes position

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $16.51

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.02

No position

Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will Frida Karlsson (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Cross Country Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

Yes position

Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.09

No position

Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.14

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: $8.36

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80.1% 24.97 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 40 shares
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?

Yes 6.1% 11.56 shares
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?

Yes 4.6% 100 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Yes 2.2% 40.27 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

Yes 37% 31.6 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.7% 103.04 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 20.7% 40 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Yes 10% 20 shares
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

Yes 26% 19.93 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Yes 30% 22 shares