Polymarket Trader

0x74f452d65318a8eb1b1e148c646Ae88b2eDfBf8D-1777997850594

0x74f452d65318a8eb1b1e148c646ae88b2edfbf8d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$486.71
Win rate: 52.4%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$36.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$69.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$140.72

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$246.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$284.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 50% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 36% 30.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 39% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 40% 52.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 40% 49.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 25% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 25% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 26% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 29% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 28% 5 shares