Polymarket Trader

0x74FCF01083ba469909e5af254Bf2d75664bc492C-1769743012360

0x74fcf01083ba469909e5af254bf2d75664bc492c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $425.19
Realized PnL: $97.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $20.33
Potential payout: $32.52
Potential profit: $12.2
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.71
Potential profit: $31.71
User PnL: -$19.98

No position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $30.03
Potential payout: $31.49
Potential profit: $1.46
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.87

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $19.59
Potential payout: $29.46
Potential profit: $9.87
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $10.84
Potential payout: $28.16
Potential profit: $17.32
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$9.15

No position

Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $16.66
Potential payout: $27.77
Potential profit: $11.11
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$3.33

No position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.83
Potential profit: $26.83
User PnL: -$19.86

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $21.13
Potential payout: $25.15
Potential profit: $4.02
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $24.85
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $20.09
Potential payout: $24.73
Potential profit: $4.64
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $20.6
Potential payout: $23.95
Potential profit: $3.35
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $19.64
Potential payout: $23.95
Potential profit: $4.31
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $23.95
Potential profit: $3.95
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $21.2
Potential payout: $23.95
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $23.29
Potential payout: $23.8
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.52
Potential profit: $23.52
User PnL: -$19.99

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $19.88
Potential payout: $23.39
Potential profit: $3.51
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $19.53
Potential payout: $23.39
Potential profit: $3.86
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $23.39
Potential profit: $3.39
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $19.64
Potential payout: $23.38
Potential profit: $3.74
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $22.55
Potential payout: $23.1
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $22.85
Potential profit: $2.86
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $20.11
Potential payout: $22.85
Potential profit: $2.74
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $20.11
Potential payout: $22.85
Potential profit: $2.74
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.77

No position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

No position

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.34

No position

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.14

No position

Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

No position

Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

No position

Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $3.36

No position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

Yes position

Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

No position

Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

No position

Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

No position

Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 80.7%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.01

No position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 84.1% 11.9 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80.2% 119.4 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89.7% 11.15 shares
Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?

Yes 88% 11.42 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 57% 16.66 shares
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

No 89% 11.28 shares
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 16.26 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 82% 11.69 shares
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 66% 14.59 shares
Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?

Yes 90% 11.17 shares
Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?

Yes 82% 12.26 shares
Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?

Yes 88% 11.42 shares