Polymarket Trader

0x74FD017f8E0F9Fc4D4462e6C8D01c9cE8447437

0x74fd017f9e0f9fc4d4462ae6c8d01c9ce8447537

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $328.98
Realized PnL: $846.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $738.1
Potential profit: $736.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.94
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $548.61
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $20.28
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $535.28
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $10.28

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $545.45
Potential profit: $545.45
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $10.85
Potential payout: $442.69
Potential profit: $431.84
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $428.57
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320.34
Potential profit: $320.34
User PnL: -$283.1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $24.67
Potential payout: $219.3
Potential profit: $194.63
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $104.08
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.97
Potential profit: $163.97
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $8.17
Potential payout: $142.11
Potential profit: $133.94
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $8.19
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $108.09
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $66.99
Potential payout: $103.87
Potential profit: $36.87
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $11.99

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.77
Potential profit: $101.77
User PnL: -$7.17

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $38.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $61.5
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $33.54
Potential payout: $88.25
Potential profit: $54.72
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.31
Potential profit: $68.31
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $55.25
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$1.95

Roberto Bautista Agut position

Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Barton

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.6
Potential profit: $56.6
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$30

Victoria Mboko position

Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarro

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$20

Amanda Anisimova position

Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.88
Potential profit: $40.88
User PnL: -$19.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.99

Yes position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.25

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.56

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.8

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.46

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.49

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.99

Sonay Kartal position

BNP Paribas Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sonay Kartal

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.25

Yes position

Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.03

No position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.68

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.58

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

No position

Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-03-13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.58

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.12

Yes position

Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Yes position

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.57

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.53

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.36

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Aryna Sabalenka position

BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.21

Yes position

Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.79

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 131.58 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 87.72 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?

Yes 0.1% 56.95 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Yes 2.1% 52.63 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Yes 1% 55.55 shares
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 36.36 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

No 74% 67.57 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 95.9% 121.08 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Yes 19% 52.63 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63% 15.87 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.7% 13.31 shares
Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Barton

Roberto Bautista Agut 53% 18.87 shares