Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.94K
- Potential profit
- $18.94K
- User PnL
- -$37.88
Polymarket Trader
61016624feebeb83
0x74fdc814355b89e8d55057da07769cc78db403b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $385.62
- Realized PnL
- $520
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$6.67
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $385.62
- Potential payout
- $482.03
- Potential profit
- $96.41
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.77
- Potential profit
- $221.77
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.2
- Potential profit
- $52.2
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.81
- Potential profit
- $39.81
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.16
Yes position
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.49
Yes position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.91
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.02
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.24
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.5
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.15
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.35
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Multiplier
- 10.10x
- User PnL
- $6.29
Yes position
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $1.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes 85.1% 59.09 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes 80% 422.94 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 84.8% 113.29 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 12.4% 2,064.44 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 6% 200 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 32% 100 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 35% 65 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 34% 296.24 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 33% 141.9 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 22% 19.64 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 38% 200 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 42% 100 shares