Polymarket Trader

isaaclegend

0x74ffbd4f47c11ebcdeba9ff26c68567ca2267926

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $238.83
Realized PnL: $50.79
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $58.36
Potential payout: $311.27
Potential profit: $252.91
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $8.36

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $163.1
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$21.43

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $18.78
Potential payout: $89.41
Potential profit: $70.63
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$21.22

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $51.72
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $34.48
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Spain win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $15.42
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $67.92
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $46.05
Potential payout: $62.66
Potential profit: $16.6
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $26.05

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $32.69
Potential payout: $43.3
Potential profit: $10.61
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $12.69

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$20

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $12.24
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $22.24
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $2.24

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.68
Potential profit: $26.68
User PnL: -$10

Scotland position

Spread: Scotland (-1.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

No position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the World Cup?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 58% 86.21 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 72.46 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.7% 119.76 shares
Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Germany 49% 10.2 shares
Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Germany 49% 10.2 shares
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)

Scotland 39% 25.64 shares
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 37% 27.03 shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15% 166.67 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 119.05 shares
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Argentina 37.5% 26.68 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Spain 51% 39.22 shares