Polymarket Trader

20260405

0x75110b2afa07a881292528a355715a0febe1582e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.44K
Realized PnL: $25.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $618.89
Potential payout: $715.48
Potential profit: $96.59
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $42.95

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $228.79
Potential payout: $427.65
Potential profit: $198.86
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$76.56

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $319.86
Potential payout: $328.9
Potential profit: $9.04
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $162.04

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.2%
Current value: $213.19
Potential payout: $236.48
Potential profit: $23.29
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$6.46

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.2%
Current value: $145.99
Potential payout: $234.91
Potential profit: $88.91
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$4.08

Yes position

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $15.61
Potential payout: $222.97
Potential profit: $207.37
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$71.35

No position

Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 54.1%
Current value: $108.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $91.9
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $196.88
Potential payout: $199.07
Potential profit: $2.19
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $7.76

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $83.73
Potential payout: $197.02
Potential profit: $113.29
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$10.84

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $168.52
Potential payout: $169.96
Potential profit: $1.44
User PnL: $11.23

Tampa Bay Rays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $64.97
Potential payout: $149.37
Potential profit: $84.39
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$17.18

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $133.44
Potential payout: $134.45
Potential profit: $1.01
User PnL: $31.26

No position

Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $116.2
Potential payout: $125.14
Potential profit: $8.95
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $96.49
Potential payout: $116.96
Potential profit: $20.47
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $114.93
Potential payout: $115.57
Potential profit: $0.64
User PnL: $13.23

No position

Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $111.95
Potential payout: $115.41
Potential profit: $3.46
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $14.36

No position

Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $104.65
Potential payout: $110.51
Potential profit: $5.86
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.28

Yes position

Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $107.64
Potential payout: $109.16
Potential profit: $1.53
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $107.2
Potential payout: $107.26
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $7.45

No position

Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $91.29
Potential payout: $105.66
Potential profit: $14.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $8.32

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $99.99
Potential payout: $102.09
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.05

No position

Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $92.93
Potential payout: $101.56
Potential profit: $8.63
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $37.07

Over position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $35.61
Potential payout: $77.41
Potential profit: $41.8
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$6.19

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 86.3%
Current value: $65.29
Potential payout: $75.7
Potential profit: $10.41
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $14.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-05?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Under position

Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Under position

Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Over position

FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.01K

Tomas Machac position

Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $996.89

Under position

Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $968.33

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $916.49

PlayTime position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $908.51

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $885.38

VP.Prodigy position

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $832.25

Over position

Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $825.14

Under position

CA Boston River vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $823.44

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $806.39

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $798.09

Virtus.pro position

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.96

Vici Gaming position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $750.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $745.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)

Philadelphia Phillies 38% 12.32 shares
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)

Washington Nationals 62% 4.06 shares
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5

Over 63% 7.22 shares
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers 51% 3.12 shares
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5

Under 65% 3.09 shares
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)

Texas Rangers 61% 3.05 shares
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins

Texas Rangers 42% 12 shares
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)

Texas Rangers 70% 5.14 shares
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)

Texas Rangers 60% 5.17 shares
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)

Houston Astros 85.9% 5.06 shares
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

No 50% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Up 68% 2 shares